PlusEV Lab
Odds & value

Early Payout EV Calculator

Value a 2UP or early-payout offer using disjoint outcome probabilities.

Ordinary EV
0.00 ₽
Expected net profit
6.00 ₽
Promotion value added
6.00 ₽

How it works

Only early-paid bets that would not win at full time add value. Add that separate probability to the normal win probability before calculating expected return.

A stake of 100 at 2.00 with a 50% final-win chance has zero EV. If 3% of all matches pay early but do not finish as wins, the promotion adds 6.

Both probabilities use all matches as their denominator and must not overlap. The tool does not estimate the chance of taking a two-goal lead. Use the actual promotion payout and check eligibility.

EV = stake × [odds × (P(final win) + P(early paid, no final win)) − 1]
Reviewed PlusEV Lab editorial teamCalculation methodology

How the Early Payout EV Calculator works

Only early-paid bets that would not win at full time add value. Add that separate probability to the normal win probability before calculating expected return.

Early Payout EV Calculator

A stake of 100 at 2.00 with a 50% final-win chance has zero EV. If 3% of all matches pay early but do not finish as wins, the promotion adds 6.

Both probabilities use all matches as their denominator and must not overlap. The tool does not estimate the chance of taking a two-goal lead. Use the actual promotion payout and check eligibility.

FAQ

Early Payout EV Calculatorexpand_more

EV = stake × [odds × (P(final win) + P(early paid, no final win)) − 1]. Both probabilities use all matches as their denominator and must not overlap. The tool does not estimate the chance of taking a two-goal lead. Use the actual promotion payout and check eligibility.

Key terms

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